The U.S. economy added 215,000 jobs in
July. Economists surveyed by CNNMoney predicted the economy would add 216,000
jobs. Anything above 200,000 is considered very solid.
The unemployment rate stayed the same at
5.3%, which is its lowest point since April 2008, according to the Labor
Department. That's considered near full employment.
"Job growth
is quite strong," says Jim O'Sullivan, chief economist at High Frequency
Economics, a research firm in New York. "This pace of employment growth is
clearly strong enough to keep the unemployment rate trending down."
Wage growth -- the
missing piece to America's economic progress -- remained sluggish in July.
Average hourly earnings only rose 2.1% compared to the prior year. Wage growth
is the reason many Americans haven't felt the benefits of the economy's
recovery. The Federal Reserve wants to see annual wage growth closer to 3.5%.
"Wage growth
numbers are still tame," says O'Sullivan.
What will the Fed do? The jobs report is extra important now
because the Fed is close to raising its key interest
rate for the first time in over nine years. The
Fed has said it will only hike rates if it believe the economy is healthy
enough, especially for workers. A rate increase would be a good sign for the
economy's health, and how far it's come since the recession ended.
Many experts believe
this jobs report was strong enough to justify the Fed's first rate hike taking
place in September.
"It's good enough
to allow the Fed to begin tightening policy," says Jeremy Lawson, senior
economist at Standard Life Investments.
Although the Fed wants
to see better wage growth before raising rates, wage growth isn't a
requirement. The Fed raised its key interest rate in June 2004 when average
weekly earnings were 1.7% compared to the prior year, according to the Labor
Department. Average weekly earnings in July were 2.4%.
The takeaway: Economic growth has been okay this year -- solid but
nothing to get excited about. Last year, the economy added 240,000 jobs a month
on average between January and July. This year that figure is 178,000 -- a sign
that job growth in isn't as stellar.
However, there were some
encouraging employment signs in July. The number workers who have part-time
jobs but want full-time jobs fell to 6.3 million workers. A drop in the number
of these so-called involuntary part-time workers means
more people are finding full-time (and better paying) jobs.
The black
unemployment rate moved down too. It fell to 9.1%,
its lowest mark since April 2008. As recently as May, the rate was over 10%.
Blacks have suffered from the highest rates of unemployment. More job growth
for blacks bodes well for the rest of the job market.
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