Showing posts with label soda. Show all posts
Showing posts with label soda. Show all posts

Tuesday, June 7, 2022

'Diet' soda is disappearing from store shelves

 


As you make your way through the soda aisle, you may notice a lot less of the word "diet" than you used to.

That's because some diet sodas are disappearing — or at least, that packaging is gone. Instead you'll find those beverages under their new branding: zero sugar.

"Zero sugar" has replaced "diet" for many no-calorie soft drinks. Canada Dry and Schweppes ginger ales, 7Up, A&W and Sunkist, made by Keurig Dr Pepper, now label their diet drinks "zero sugar." (One exception is the namesake Dr Pepper brand, which will still come in "diet" packaging in addition to a different zero sugar version.)

The reason for the overhaul: The word "diet" has fallen out of fashion — especially for Millennials and Gen Z-ers.

"Younger people just don't like the word 'diet," said Greg Lyons, chief marketing officer at PepsiCo Beverages North America, during the Beverage Digest Future Smarts conference in December. Pepsi rebranded "Pepsi Max" as "Pepsi Zero Sugar" in 2016 and has been investing in its zero-sugar offerings over the past few year.

"No Gen Z wants to be on a diet these days," he said, adding that the company is "going to continue to innovate and support that business."


 

But distaste for the word diet doesn't signal an aversion to no-calorie beverages. The diet soda segment, which includes diet and zero-calorie branded drinks, has ballooned since it first hit the mainstream in the 1960s. In 2020, the US retail diet carbonated soft drink market hit $11.2 billion, according to Mintel, a market research company.

The segment is still far smaller than the market for regular carbonated soft drinks, which was $28.2 billion in 2020, but it's growing much more quickly. Diet soda sales are up about 19.5% from 2018, compared to just 8.4% for regular soda in the same period, making it an attractive segment for soda makers seeking growth.

Evolving attitudes toward dieting as a concept mean soda makers have to de-emphasize diet branding as they steam ahead with zero-sugar offerings — even when, as in the case of those brands owned by Keurig Dr Pepper, they're selling the same exact drink.

The tactic could help soda makers bring more consumers, especially younger ones, into the fold. The industry needs those customers if it wants to grow the soda market. 


 

The birth of diet colas

Diet drinks first became popular in the 1960s.

Diet Rite, a no-calorie drink from the soda maker Royal Crown Cola, was launched in 1958 "as an option for diabetics and other consumers who needed to limit their sugar intake," wrote Emily Contois, author of "Diners, Dudes, and Diets: How Gender and Power Collide in Food Media and Culture," in a 2020 piece for Jezebel.

"It was first stocked among medicines rather than soft drinks, but focus soon shifted to the growing number of weight loss dieters nationwide," she wrote. Diet Rite was a hit, prompting Coca-Cola to introduce Tab in 1963, and Pepsi to start selling Diet Pepsi a year later.

The segment gained steam in the following years. Looking to expand beyond Tab, Coca-Cola launched Diet Coke in 1982.

At the time, Coca-Cola was facing many of the same challenges it is fighting today: It needed to reinvigorate the Coca-Cola brand, and thought adding a Coke-branded diet option could help.

A company blog post detailing the launch of Diet Coke noted that "colas accounted for 60% of all soft drink sales in the US back then, but diets were growing three times faster than the rest of the category. Diet Coke was seen as the right product for the right time."

The company grappled with what to name the product. It considered using the moniker "sugar free" instead of diet, but "many saw it as a slur on Coca-Cola's main ingredient," according to the post. Ultimately, the company went with "diet" because it "was the most straightforward articulation of the promise of the brand."

But a few decades later, Coca-Cola returned to the idea of a sugar-free-branded product. This time, it wanted to attract the demographics that seemed to be avoiding the company's diet beverages: younger consumers and men.

Zero hits the scene

In 2005, Coca-Cola introduced Coke Zero in the United States. The Baltimore Sun explained at the time that Zero's "marketing is geared to a demographic, such as young people and the most macho of men, who see a stigma attached to the word diet."

Other companies also wanted a more neutral way to advertise no-sugar products.

Eliminating the word "diet" creates a "gender-free way to talk about the same topic," said Jim Watson, senior beverage analyst at Rabobank, who told CNN Business that "diet definitely got taken over as something for women."

But the arrival of zero-sugar drinks wasn't just about gender: It marked a turning point for the overall popularity of diet drinks. Alex Beckett, global food and drink analyst at Mintel, said the word diet "started falling out of fashion ... with the rise of zero." 


 

Billing a drink as free of calories and sugar is also about addressing changing ideas about health, and highlighting the absence of sugar from the drink as a positive attribute in itself.

"While the diet designation may be associated with strict regimes or deprivation, the 'zero' designation has fewer negative connotations, corresponding with simply a cleaner profile," according to a Mintel report from April.

For Keurig, the shift seems to be working. Recent zero sugar launches alone were responsible for one percentage point of market-share gains for the company, according to Derek Hopkins, president of cold beverages at Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP), who detailed the company's finances during the company's investor day in October.

Coca-Cola (KO) has also seen success with its Zero offering, which was rebranded to Coca-Cola Zero Sugar in 2017 and got another update this year. "Coca-Cola Zero Sugar's new recipe has rolled out in more than 50 countries and has had accelerated growth in the last three months," said Coke CEO James Quincey during an analyst call in October.

The new recipe arrived on shelves in the US this summer, and since then "we have seen that 23% of current Coke Zero Sugar consumers are new," said Alex Ebanks, a spokesperson for the company, adding that Coca-Cola will continue to invest in the product next year and beyond.

Competition heats up

While big brands sharpen their focus on their zero-sugar offerings, they face competition from other categories and upstarts with novel ideas.

One major competitor, according to Mintel's Beckett, is sparkling water.

"Many people are shifting over ... from carbonated soft drinks to sparkling waters," he said, because those drinks often have no sweeteners, no calories, and "have a more of a health healthy image."

PepsiCo (PEP) and Coca-Cola have offered their own sparkling waters to get in on the trend. Coca-Cola owns Topo Chico and has a line of caffeinated sparkling water called Aha, while PepsiCo sells Bubly.

Beyond sparkling waters, competitors are entering the space with fresh spins on sodas. For example: Sodas that promote gut health.

Olipop, a startup that says it makes "a new kind of soda," sells throwback flavors like classic root beer, vintage cola and others. The sodas, which range from about 35-50 calories each, are made with a mix of ingredients like Jerusalem artichoke and Cassava root that the company says support digestive health. Poppi, which also sells traditional soda flavors in addition to fruit flavors, makes a similar claim, emblazoning a "for a healthy gut" label on the front of its brightly colored cans.

"​​Consumers are voting with our wallets, and sugar is something that people definitely want less of in our lives," said Danny Stepper, CEO of LA Libations, a beverage company incubator. "That opens the door for a lot of opportunities and categories," he said. "Consumers want new things, so that's opening the door to new ideas." 

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A die-hard diet soda drinker investigates the zero sugar trend

 


About a year ago or so, I was hanging out at my favorite haunt in New York. I'm such a regular that the staff kept my favorite soda, which is often very difficult to find in a can, on hand for me. (Seriously, there are pictures of me drinking it online.)

I ordered my Diet A&W Cream Soda, and I quickly realized something was different. My "diet" soda was no longer diet. Instead, it had become "zero sugar."

Just what the heck was going on? I had to know because diet soda is my everything. It's one of the few things in life I truly enjoy, and I know many of you love diet soda as well. It's a multibillion-dollar industry.

This week, I took my podcast Margins of Error in a thirst-quenching direction to try to solve this marketing mystery and see if I should actually be drinking any of this stuff.

Margins of Error

When Did 'Diet' Become a Dirty Word?

Diet soda is one of the few things in life that makes Harry very happy. And it turns out, it might be disappearing as “zero sugar” infiltrates the carbonated industry. Why is this happening all of a sudden and is there a difference between the two labels? Or is this just a war of words?

I soon realized A&W wasn't some aberration. It was part of a trend.

Just take a trip down your local grocery store aisle as I did, and you'll find that diet soda is disappearing. Brands such as Canada Dry and Crush have replaced their diet sodas with "zero sugar," while others such as Coca-Cola and Dr Pepper now have zero sugar options in addition to diet.

It all comes down to business. I spoke with Emily Contois, who wrote "Diners, Dudes, and Diets: How Gender and Power Collide in Food Media and Culture," and she told me the word "diet" has become a four-letter word. Diet has been associated by some -- specifically young men -- with "femininity, and in a derisive way," said Contois, an assistant professor of media studies at The University of Tulsa in Oklahoma.

On top of that, Contois told me that "diet is about lack, diet's about restraint, diet's about femininity in these negative, but also kind of painful ways."

It turns out this isn't a new problem for low-calorie soda makers. Low-calorie soda, also called "diet" or "zero sugar," has been around for 70 years, and how to promote it has always been a tricky thing. 

 

Here's why cutting sugary drinks can extend your life

 

Do you lean full into the idea of a diet, or do you lean into the idea of being healthier by cutting sugar without losing taste?

There were once a slew of different low-calorie drinks -- Diet Rite, Tab, Patio, Diet Pepsi and much later on, Diet Coke -- in the early days, and they went with different marketing strategies.

In this Diet Rite ad from around 1969, Boston Celtics star John Havlicek emphasizes the drink is for those who "ain't on a diet."

On the other hand, Tab told its customers to "be a Mind-sticker ... with a shape he can't forget" in this 1960s ad.

Flash forward to the 2000s, when the business of low-calorie soda was looking pretty bleak at the beginning of the current century. Diet soda sales were slouching. Marketing ultimately comes down to what is working businesswise, and it was clearly time to move away from diet.

Welcome to the land of "zero sugar" sodas. Contois argued that from a marketing perspective, "zero is empowered and full and a value add. It's got zero sugar as a good thing instead of diet as this pursuit of nothingness."

 

Coca-Cola CEO on why he's getting rid of beloved beverages

 
Guess what? It seems to be working. Low-calorie soda sales are rising, and a big part of that seems to be the zero sugar phenomenon.

Coke Zero outsold Diet Pepsi last year, according to statistics from my colleague Danielle Wiener-Bronner, who covers the food sector for CNN Business. This made it the second most popular "low-calorie cola carbonate."

As you might have guessed, Diet Coke is still in first place. Still, from 2019 to 2021, Diet Coke's market share decreased by 3.3 percentage points, while Coke Zero's increased by 3 percentage points.

Of course, I was left with the question of whether this low-calorie stuff is better for you than the regular versions. The good news is that most experts agree that beverages sweetened without sugar can lead to better short-term outcomes than beverages with sugar, as you can see from this recent meta-study CNN previously reported.

But you should listen to the podcast to learn why understanding the long-term effects aren't so easy to figure out. 

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