Hillary
Clinton and Bernie Sanders are locked in a tight race in Nevada as Democrats
caucus in a state once viewed as a firewall for the former secretary of state.
Early
entrance polls indicate Sanders is slightly ahead of Clinton 49% to 47%.
Minority
voters are turning out in strong numbers while a large number of attendees
identified as liberal, according to the entrance poll results.
The
early entrance polls reflect the views of the first few caucusgoers to arrive
at each surveyed caucus site, and those arriving early aren't always similar to
those who arrive at just before the doors close. These numbers may change as
the final caucusgoers are incorporated after doors have closed.
Clinton
is counting on a strong turnout among Latino voters to hold off Sanders'
momentum in this critical swing state. Her surrogates fanned out across Nevada
this week in an attempt to portray her as the more trustworthy candidate for
Latinos.
In
the final days, Clinton's allies have slashed Sanders' immigration record,
criticizing him as a johnny-come-lately to the issue who has been too vague
about his plans. At the same time, they pushed for Clinton in Nevada's rural
counties -- where Clinton's canvassers have been pressing the case that
Sanders' proposals are unrealistic and unachievable in the current political
climate.
Clinton
has sought a strong win here to provide a jolt of momentum heading into South
Carolina and Super Tuesday.
A
loss, or even another close finish with Sanders in Nevada, would further chip
away at the aura of invincibility that once surrounded her path to the
nomination, serving as a testament to the strength of Sanders' momentum even in
a heavily Latino state where she was organized sixmonths ahead of him.
An
estimated 40% of the state's Democratic voters are non-white -- and Clinton was
expected to show her strength among minority voters with a good showing here.
But Sanders has emphasized his family's immigrant roots in ads and on the campaign
trail, noting that his father was a Polish immigrant to America who originally
spoke little English.
"Immigration
isn't just a word for Bernie Sanders," the narrator said in one
Spanish-language radio ad for his campaign in November. "His story is the
immigrant story."
Beyond
Clinton's breakneck campaign schedule here this week, there were other
signs of concern within her campaign about the unexpected strength of the
Sanders effort.
On
the same day that Clinton released an emotional immigration ad featuring
Clinton talking to a tearful 10-year-old girl about the deportation letter that
her parents received, her operatives added a half-million dollars to their ad
spending on broadcast, satellite and cable for a total of $3.4 million to
Sanders' $3.7 million, according to data from Kantar Media/CMAG, a company that
tracks political advertising.
The
Clinton campaign is also clearly looking at caucus states beyond Nevada,
dispatching Bill Clinton to speak to voters in the upcoming contest of Colorado
even as the post-caucus celebrations get underway in Nevada Saturday evening.
Clinton
repeatedly dropped in on employees at the casinos on the Las Vegas Strip in her
efforts to boost Clark County turnout. Both campaigns had heavily courted the
powerful Culinary Workers Union, which supported Obama in 2008 and helped him
turn out voters to caucus. But in a blow to Clinton's campaign, they chose to
stay neutral this year.
Like
Obama in 2008, Sanders is counting on a strong turnout from first-time
caucusgoers, though not nearly as many are expected as eight years ago when
some 120,000 turned out.
Though
Clinton is perceived as having an advantage with voters in Clark County, in
part because of her strong support from labor unions, Sanders spent a good
amount of time campaigning around the populous areas of Las Vegas this week
before heading to Elko, Nevada, on Friday to rally rural voters.
During
both an MSNBC forum and a speech at the Clark County Democratic Dinner on
Thursday night, Sanders made a direct pitch to Latinos by chiding Donald Trump
for vilifying immigrants. He argued that Congress "must move towards a
path for citizenship for undocumented immigrants."
"While
I understand that there are people who have differences of opinion with me on
immigration reform, there is no justification, no reason, to resort to bigotry
and xenophobia when we are talking about Mexicans or we are talking about
Muslims," Sanders said at the Democratic dinner at the Tropicana Hotel on
the Las Vegas Strip.
"People
can disagree about immigration reform, but in the year 2016, we will not allow
the Trumps and others to divide us up and appeal to racism, which has done this
country so much harm for so many years," he said.
During
the MSNBC/Telemundo forum, Sanders also defended his 2007 vote against
legislation that would have revamped the immigration system, stating that he
objected to guest-worker provisions that were described by one legal advocacy
group as being "akin to slavery."
Both
Sanders and Clinton have also made an aggressive play for Nevada's rural voters
this cycle. Clinton won the popular vote here in 2008. But by organizing in the
delegate-rich rural counties of Nevada, Obama won more nominating delegates to
the Democratic National Convention than Clinton.
Clinton
is heavily organized in those rural counties this time. The looming question is
whether her campaign will be able to overcome the enthusiasm for Sanders, as
well as a palpable level of discomfort with her position on gun control
compared to Sanders' more moderate stances.
At
a town hall in Elko Friday morning, Sanders stressed the importance of turnout
among rural voters to his campaign, calling on them to show the world the
desire for a "political revolution that transforms this country."
"I
really believe this from my heart of hearts: obviously we are here to win and
hope to win. I want democracy to flourish," Sanders said. "I hope
Nevada turns out -- I hope we have a YUGE turnout -- I'm afraid to use that
word! But I hope we have a very, very large voter turnout. Show the world that
democracy is alive and well in Nevada."
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